Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 2H Moneyline | 90% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-13 | 90% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 90% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers vs. Packers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 14-20 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 21+ | 10% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 6% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 6% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 2% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 1% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 1% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 1% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 1% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 1% |
| Panthers vs. Packers | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Panthers vs. Packers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Packers, scheduled for October 29 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Panthers" if Panthers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pac…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.7M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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