Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf tianjin: ku keon kang vs toshiki karigyo stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Ku Keon Kang and Toshiki Karigyo in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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