About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
Prediction Market API: Build Your Own Trading Bot
28 April 2026prediction market API
Crypto Prediction Markets: The Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026crypto prediction markets
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
How Prediction Markets Resolve: Settlement Explained
1 May 2026prediction market resolution
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K? Prediction Market Analysis
1 May 2026Bitcoin 100K prediction
Polymarket Banned Countries: Where You Can and Can't Trade
1 May 2026Polymarket banned countries
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification Guide
1 May 2026prediction market portfolio
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
5 Proven Prediction Market Strategies That Work in 2026
1 May 2026prediction market strategies
Decentralized Prediction Markets: How On-Chain Forecasting Works in 2026
1 May 2026decentralized prediction market
YES and NO Shares in Prediction Markets: What They Mean and How to Trade Them
1 May 2026yes no shares prediction market
How CLOB Works in Prediction Markets: Central Limit Order Book Explained
1 May 2026CLOB prediction market
Polygon & USDC in Prediction Markets: Fast, Cheap, and Reliable Settlement
1 May 2026polygon USDC prediction market
Information Markets vs Prediction Markets: How Forecasting Aggregates Knowledge
1 May 2026information markets prediction markets
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
Boxing Prediction Markets 2026: Undisputed Champions & Title Fight Odds
1 May 2026boxing prediction market 2026
Crypto Market Cap Prediction Markets 2026: Total Market & Altcoin Season Odds
2 May 2026crypto market cap prediction 2026
Formula 1 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds, Race Winners & Constructor Title
2 May 2026formula 1 prediction market 2026
Ethereum ETF Prediction Markets 2026: Staking, AUM & What Comes Next
2 May 2026ethereum ETF prediction market
Prediction Market Glossary 2026: 50 Key Terms Every Trader Should Know
2 May 2026prediction market glossary
US Senate & House 2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Control Odds Explained
2 May 2026US House Senate 2026 prediction
10 Prediction Market Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)
2 May 2026prediction market beginner mistakes
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Polymarket App for Mobile 2026: PolyGram as the Native Telegram Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket app mobile
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Climate & Environment Prediction Markets 2026: CO2, Temperature & Policy Odds
2 May 2026climate prediction market 2026
French Open 2026 Prediction Markets: Roland Garros Champion Odds & Clay Analysis
2 May 2026French Open 2026 prediction market
Celebrity Boxing & Influencer Fight Prediction Markets 2026
2 May 2026celebrity boxing prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
Best News Sources for Prediction Market Traders: Information Edge Guide
2 May 2026prediction market news sources
Sports Trading vs Prediction Markets: Which Is Better for Professional Traders?
2 May 2026sports trading vs prediction markets
What Is a Prediction Market? Visual Guide with Real Examples
2 May 2026what is a prediction market explained
DeFi Prediction Markets 2026: Total Value Locked, Aave, Uniswap & Protocol Milestones
2 May 2026DeFi prediction market 2026
Rugby World Cup 2027 Prediction Markets: Early Odds & Southern Hemisphere Dominance
2 May 2026rugby world cup prediction market 2027
Political Prediction Market Strategy: How to Trade Elections & Policy Markets
2 May 2026political prediction market strategy
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Are Prediction Markets Gambling? Legal & Academic Perspective 2026
2 May 2026are prediction markets gambling
Serie A Prediction Markets 2025/26: Inter Milan, Juventus & Italian Football Odds
2 May 2026serie a prediction market 2026
Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? Prediction Market Odds & Analysis
24 May 2026who will win world cup 2026
Polymarket UK 2026 — Complete Guide for British Traders
24 May 2026Polymarket UK
Is Polymarket Legal in the UK? 2026 Guide
9 June 2026polymarket uk legal 2026
Polymarket KYC UK: Do You Need to Verify Your Identity? 2026 Guide
9 June 2026polymarket kyc uk
Who Will Win in 2026? Prediction Market Odds for Every Major Event
9 June 2026who will win 2026
Is Polymarket Legit? Safety, Regulation & User Reviews 2026
9 June 2026is polymarket legit
Polymarket Review 2026: Is It Worth Using? Pros, Cons & Verdict
9 June 2026polymarket review 2026
Polymarket in German: English Guide for German Speakers
9 June 2026polymarket deutsch english
Polymarket Fees UK 2026: Complete Breakdown (Gas, Withdrawal, Trading)
10 June 2026
Polymarket Crypto Deposit UK: USDC, ETH & More 2026
10 June 2026
Polymarket Open Banking UK: Instant GBP Deposit Guide
10 June 2026
How to Make Money on Prediction Markets: 2026 Strategy Guide
10 June 2026
