Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Broncos O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -5.5 | 96% |
| Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -8.5 | 88% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| Spread -9.5 | 83% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 83% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 82% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 81% |
| Spread -10.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 78% |
| Broncos O/U 30.5 | 63% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 61% |
| Broncos O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 59% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 21+ | 50% |
| Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Broncos O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 48.5 | 44% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 43% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 42% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 40% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| Spread -16.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-12 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Safety? | 28% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 56.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| O/U 60.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| O/U 64.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, broncos vs. cardinals stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Cardinals, scheduled for October 25 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. This market w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.2M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Broncos vs. Cardinals on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →