Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 97% |
| O/U 200.5 | 95% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 95% |
| O/U 202.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 93% |
| O/U 204.5 | 92% |
| O/U 206.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 90% |
| O/U 208.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 87% |
| O/U 210.5 | 86% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 214.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 80% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| O/U 216.5 | 76% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| O/U 218.5 | 73% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 73% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 72% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 70% |
| Rockets O/U 105.5 | 70% |
| O/U 220.5 | 69% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 4.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 68% |
| Hawks O/U 101.5 | 67% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 54.5 | 66% |
| O/U 222.5 | 65% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| Rockets O/U 107.5 | 65% |
| Hawks O/U 103.5 | 65% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 62% |
| Rockets O/U 109.5 | 62% |
| Hawks O/U 105.5 | 62% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 56.5 | 62% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| O/U 224.5 | 60% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Rockets O/U 111.5 | 60% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| Hawks O/U 107.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 4.5 | 57% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| O/U 226.5 | 56% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Rockets O/U 113.5 | 56% |
| Hawks O/U 109.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Rockets O/U 115.5 | 54% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 56.5 | 54% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5 | 53% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 228.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| Hawks O/U 113.5 | 51% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5 | 48% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| O/U 230.5 | 47% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Hawks O/U 115.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Rockets O/U 121.5 | 44% |
| Hawks O/U 117.5 | 44% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| O/U 232.5 | 43% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 43% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Hawks O/U 111.5 | 42% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 60.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Rockets O/U 119.5 | 40% |
| Rockets O/U 123.5 | 40% |
| Hawks O/U 119.5 | 40% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 234.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Rockets O/U 117.5 | 38% |
| Hawks O/U 121.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Rockets O/U 125.5 | 37% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | 36% |
| Race to 10 | 36% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 36% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 236.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 238.5 | 31% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Hawks O/U 123.5 | 31% |
| Rockets O/U 127.5 | 31% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| O/U 240.5 | 27% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 27% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 242.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -15.5 | 20% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| O/U 250.5 | 12% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| O/U 252.5 | 10% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| O/U 254.5 | 9% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| O/U 256.5 | 7% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -25.5 | 6% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -18.5 | 4% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 4% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, hawks vs. rockets stands at 97% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 8:30PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23ffffff%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23ffffff%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Hawks vs. Rockets on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →