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Pacers vs. Bucks

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pacers vs. Bucks" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 100% Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 100% Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 99% Volume: $3.4M Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 27 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Pacers vs. Bucks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5100%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.599%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.598%
O/U 212.594%
O/U 214.594%
1H O/U 100.593%
O/U 216.592%
1H O/U 102.592%
1H O/U 104.592%
O/U 218.590%
O/U 220.590%
1H O/U 108.589%
Bucks O/U 105.588%
O/U 222.587%
1H O/U 106.587%
O/U 224.583%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.581%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.580%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.580%
O/U 226.579%
1H O/U 110.577%
O/U 228.576%
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.576%
Bucks 1H O/U 54.573%
O/U 230.572%
2Q O/U 53.572%
Bucks O/U 111.572%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.571%
Bucks 1H O/U 56.571%
1H O/U 112.569%
O/U 232.568%
O/U 234.568%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.568%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.567%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.566%
Bucks O/U 113.566%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.564%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.564%
3Q O/U 58.564%
O/U 236.563%
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.563%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.563%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.563%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.562%
1H O/U 114.562%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.561%
O/U 238.560%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.560%
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.560%
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.559%
1H O/U 116.557%
Bucks O/U 117.557%
Team to Score First56%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.556%
1H O/U 118.556%
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.554%
Pacers vs. Bucks53%
4Q O/U 58.553%
O/U 240.552%
Spread -1.551%
O/U 242.551%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.551%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.551%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 3050%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.550%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.550%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 4.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 4.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 4.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 9.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 14.550%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.550%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.550%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.550%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.550%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.550%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.550%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.550%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 9.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 15.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 24.550%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 24.550%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 34.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 1.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 3.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 5.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.550%
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.550%
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.550%
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.550%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.550%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.550%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.550%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.550%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.550%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 19.550%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 1.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 3.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.550%
Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.550%
Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.550%
Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.550%
Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.550%
Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.550%
Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 3.550%
Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 4.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 29.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 39.550%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -7.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q O/U 58.550%
1Q O/U 46.550%
1Q O/U 48.550%
1Q O/U 50.550%
1Q O/U 52.550%
1Q O/U 54.550%
1Q O/U 56.550%
1Q O/U 60.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q O/U 57.550%
2Q O/U 55.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 56.550%
3Q O/U 60.550%
3Q O/U 64.550%
3Q O/U 66.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 60.550%
Pacers O/U 110.550%
Bucks O/U 107.550%
Pacers O/U 112.550%
Bucks O/U 109.550%
Pacers O/U 114.550%
Pacers O/U 116.550%
Pacers O/U 118.550%
Bucks O/U 115.550%
Pacers O/U 120.550%
Pacers O/U 122.550%
Bucks O/U 119.550%
Pacers O/U 124.550%
Bucks O/U 121.550%
Bucks 1H O/U 58.550%
Bucks 1H O/U 60.550%
Pacers O/U 126.550%
Pacers O/U 128.550%
Pacers O/U 130.550%
Bucks O/U 127.550%
Bucks O/U 129.550%
Pacers 1H O/U 55.550%
Pacers 1H O/U 57.550%
Pacers 1H O/U 59.550%
Pacers 2H O/U 57.550%
Pacers 2H O/U 59.550%
Pacers 2H O/U 61.550%
Pacers 2H O/U 63.550%
Pacers 2H O/U 65.550%
Bucks 1H O/U 52.550%
Bucks 2H O/U 54.550%
Bucks 2H O/U 56.550%
Bucks 2H O/U 58.550%
Bucks 2H O/U 60.550%
Bucks 2H O/U 62.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 7.550%
Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 16.550%
Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 7.550%
Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 4.550%
Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 9.550%
Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 14.550%
Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 19.550%
Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 24.550%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 44.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.550%
Jay Huff: Points O/U 4.550%
Jay Huff: Points O/U 9.550%
Jay Huff: Points O/U 14.550%
Jay Huff: Points O/U 19.550%
Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 3.550%
Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 4.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 20.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 10.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.550%
Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.550%
Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.550%
Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.550%
Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.550%
Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 0.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 1.550%
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 2.550%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.549%
Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.549%
2Q Spread -1.549%
3Q O/U 62.549%
Spread -1.547%
Spread -2.547%
Spread -32.547%
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.547%
Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.547%
1H Moneyline47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.546%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.545%
2Q O/U 59.543%
O/U 246.542%
1H O/U 122.542%
Spread -3.541%
Spread -3.541%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.541%
O/U 244.540%
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.540%
1H Spread -3.540%
Spread -4.539%
1H Spread -2.539%
1H O/U 120.539%
2Q O/U 61.539%
Race to 2037%
Spread -5.537%
4Q O/U 62.537%
O/U 248.535%
O/U 250.535%
Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.534%
Bucks O/U 123.534%
Spread -5.533%
Spread -6.533%
1H Spread -4.533%
2Q Spread -5.532%
Pacers 1H O/U 63.532%
Spread -7.531%
1H Spread -5.531%
1H O/U 124.531%
Pacers 1H O/U 61.531%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.531%
Spread -8.528%
1H O/U 128.528%
Bucks O/U 125.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 252.527%
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.527%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.527%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.527%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.527%
Spread -9.526%
O/U 254.526%
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.524%
1H Spread -6.524%
1H Spread -7.524%
Spread -10.523%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.523%
1H O/U 126.523%
3Q O/U 68.522%
Spread -9.521%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.521%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.521%
Spread -12.519%
O/U 256.519%
O/U 258.519%
1H Spread -8.519%
1H Spread -9.519%
1H O/U 132.519%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.518%
Spread -11.517%
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.517%
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.516%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.516%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.516%
1H Spread -11.516%
1H O/U 130.516%
Spread -14.514%
O/U 260.514%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.514%
Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.514%
Spread -13.513%
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.513%
1H Spread -10.513%
Spread -16.512%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.512%
Spread -15.511%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.511%
1H Spread -12.511%
1H Spread -13.510%
Spread -18.59%
Spread -17.58%
Spread -20.57%
1H Spread -15.57%
Spread -19.56%
Spread -22.56%
1H Spread -14.56%
1H Spread -16.56%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -24.55%
1H Spread -18.54%
Spread -23.53%
Spread -26.53%
Spread -28.53%
Race to 102%
Spread -30.52%
1H Spread -20.52%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pacers vs. Bucks. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 at 100% for "Pacers vs. Bucks".

Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.4M.

Methodology

We track Pacers vs. Bucks across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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