Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 24.5 | 87% |
| O/U 30.5 | 87% |
| O/U 28.5 | 85% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 85% |
| O/U 32.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 73% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| O/U 38.5 | 68% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 67% |
| 1H Moneyline | 66% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 54% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| O/U 40.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 46.5 | 43% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 43% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| O/U 48.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 50.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| O/U 52.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| O/U 54.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 58.5 | 13% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 60.5 | 11% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cowboys vs. eagles stands at 94% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Eagles, scheduled for October 26 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.2M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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