Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 97% |
| O/U 205.5 | 96% |
| O/U 207.5 | 95% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 90% |
| O/U 215.5 | 88% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| O/U 217.5 | 86% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 84% |
| O/U 219.5 | 83% |
| Nuggets O/U 110.5 | 83% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 82% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 79% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| Nuggets O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| O/U 223.5 | 76% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 74% |
| O/U 225.5 | 73% |
| Nuggets O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 227.5 | 69% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 69% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 4.5 | 67% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 67% |
| Nuggets O/U 116.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 65% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 63% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| O/U 231.5 | 61% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Nuggets O/U 118.5 | 61% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 232.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 59% |
| O/U 233.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 55% |
| Nuggets O/U 120.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 235.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Nuggets O/U 122.5 | 48% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| O/U 237.5 | 47% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 15.5 | 44% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 44% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 44% |
| O/U 239.5 | 43% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Race to 20 | 41% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Nuggets O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| O/U 241.5 | 39% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 39% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 36% |
| O/U 243.5 | 35% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Nuggets O/U 126.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 34% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 34% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 245.5 | 31% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Nuggets O/U 128.5 | 29% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | 28% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| O/U 247.5 | 27% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Warriors O/U 122.5 | 27% |
| Spread -15.5 | 26% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Race to 30 | 23% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| Nuggets O/U 130.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 22% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Nuggets O/U 132.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -23.5 | 10% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 8% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 3% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 97% YES probability for Warriors vs. Nuggets. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is p…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $796K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Warriors vs. Nuggets on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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