About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
How Does Polymarket Work? Complete Beginner's Guide
1 April 2026how does Polymarket work
Polymarket Crypto Prediction Markets: Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum Outcomes
1 April 2026Polymarket crypto prediction markets
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026what are prediction markets
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
10 Common Prediction Market Mistakes (and How to Avoid Them)
1 May 2026prediction market mistakes
2026 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis
1 May 2026World Cup 2026 prediction odds
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K? Prediction Market Analysis
1 May 2026Bitcoin 100K prediction
How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets in 2026
1 May 2026AI prediction markets
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
NFL 2026 Prediction Markets: Super Bowl LXI Odds & Season Guide
1 May 2026NFL prediction markets 2026
Kalshi Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Beats CFTC-Regulated Markets
1 May 2026kalshi alternative
Decentralized Prediction Markets: How On-Chain Forecasting Works in 2026
1 May 2026decentralized prediction market
Polymarket Review 2026: Is It Still the Best Prediction Market Platform?
1 May 2026polymarket review 2026
Manifold Markets Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Offers Real Money Trading
1 May 2026manifold markets alternative
NBA 2026 Finals Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
1 May 2026NBA prediction markets 2026
How to Deposit on PolyGram: USDC, Credit Card & Bank Transfer Guide
1 May 2026prediction market deposit guide
Prediction Market Liquidity: Why It Matters and How to Find Deep Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Sports Betting ROI vs Prediction Markets: Which Is More Profitable Long-Term?
1 May 2026sports betting vs prediction market ROI
PolyGram Sign Up Guide 2026: Start Trading Prediction Markets in 60 Seconds
1 May 2026polymarket signup guide
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
Wimbledon 2026 Prediction Markets: Men's & Women's Draw Odds
1 May 2026wimbledon prediction market 2026
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
SEC Crypto Ruling Prediction Markets: Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum Status & More
1 May 2026SEC crypto prediction market
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
Prediction Markets UK 2026: PolyGram as the Best Polymarket UK Alternative
1 May 2026polymarket UK
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
Crypto Market Cap Prediction Markets 2026: Total Market & Altcoin Season Odds
2 May 2026crypto market cap prediction 2026
Prediction Market Glossary 2026: 50 Key Terms Every Trader Should Know
2 May 2026prediction market glossary
Inflation Prediction Markets 2026: CPI, PCE & Fed Target Markets
2 May 2026inflation prediction market 2026
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Stock Market Prediction Markets 2026: S&P 500, NASDAQ & Dow Jones Odds
2 May 2026stock market prediction market 2026
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
Sports Trading vs Prediction Markets: Which Is Better for Professional Traders?
2 May 2026sports trading vs prediction markets
Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Never Blow Up Your Account
2 May 2026prediction market bankroll management
XRP & Ripple Prediction Markets 2026: SEC Case, Price Targets & ODL Markets
2 May 2026XRP prediction market 2026
ATP & WTA Rankings Prediction Markets 2026: Year-End Leaderboard Odds
2 May 2026ATP rankings prediction market 2026
How to Deposit USDC on Polymarket/PolyGram: The Fastest 2026 Methods
2 May 2026polymarket deposit USDC 2026
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026